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Cutline

Private grading decision desk

Know the line before money leaves your hand.

Cutline models the likely grade outcomes, every cost, and your own hit rate before you buy or submit a Pokémon card. The call stays attached to that copy until it grades, sells, or joins the archive.

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Your account owns its own card bank, graders, service tiers, sale channels, and decision thresholds. Those records and assumptions are not shared between collectors.

Anatomy of a decision

RAW / GRADE / EXIT

01

Raw asking price

02

Top-grade comp

03

Your gem-rate estimate

Cutline applies

  • Full grade probability
  • Grading and selling costs
  • Break-even and downside

One clear call

Buy / Hold / Pass

The recommendation is never separated from the assumptions that produced it.

A judgment with the evidence still attached.

Expected value only helps when you can see what would change the answer. Cutline makes uncertainty part of the decision, not a footnote after it.

Price
The raw ask, what you actually paid, and the graded comps you trust.
Probability
Your gem-rate estimate, adjusted for the grader and its full grade ladder.
Friction
Grading, shipping, middleman, and selling costs applied before the call.
The cut
Expected profit, chance of loss, break-even rate, and the most you should pay.

The record follows the physical card.

A promising raw card becomes a candidate, a frozen submission forecast, a graded copy, and finally evidence about your own eye. Cutline keeps that chain intact.

  1. 01Check

    Make the call at the card

    Three numbers turn a seller’s asking price into a buy, hold, or pass decision.

  2. 02Bank

    Keep the working candidates

    Store the comp, gem-rate assumption, buy ceiling, and next action with the card.

  3. 03Batches

    Freeze the case for grading

    Compare services, build the batch, and preserve the prediction that justified sending it.

  4. 04Archive

    Record the physical outcome

    Attach the grade, certification, sale, and realised return to the copy that came back.

  5. 05Review

    Learn where your eye is wrong

    Compare forecast with reality and recalibrate future gem-rate estimates by grader.

The numbers answer to your model.

There is no shared house view of what a card is worth. Your assumptions are explicit, editable, and isolated to your account.

  • Your graders

    Companies, grade ladders, strictness, service tiers, turnaround, and declared-value limits.

  • Your selling routes

    Channel fees, fixed costs, shipping, and middleman terms reflected in every outcome.

  • Your thresholds

    The return that counts as strong, the line that is merely marginal, and when to walk away.

Make the next pickup a decision, not a guess.

Create an account, set the grading and selling assumptions you actually use, then draw the line on the first card.

Create your desk